Panama vs Costa Rica: result 3-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 21, 2023 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez, Ciudad de Panamá
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What was the result of Panama vs Costa Rica?
Panama won 3-1 on November 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 20′J. FajardoPanama
- 23′J. RodríguezPanama
- 43′Y. BárcenasPanama (pen.)
- 51′F. CalvoCosta Rica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panama have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Costa Rica have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Costa Rica(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Guatemala(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Curaçao(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Guatemala(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Martinique(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Panama(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 12, 2023 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Mexico(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Martinique(home) | 6-4 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Panama win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Costa Rica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Costa Rica 0-3 Panama | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Costa Rica 1-2 Panama | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Costa Rica 0-1 Panama | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Panama 2-0 Costa Rica | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jan 28, 2022 | Costa Rica 1-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Panama 0-0 Costa Rica | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Panama score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 1.2 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Costa Rica | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy