Panama vs Costa Rica: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF5th Round - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2017 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez, Ciudad de Panamá
Full time
What was the result of Panama vs Costa Rica?
Panama won 2-1 on October 11, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 36′J. VenegasCosta Rica
- 53′G. TorresPanama
- 88′Román Aureliano Torres MorcilloPanama
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panama have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Costa Rica have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2017 | USA(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 6, 2017 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Mexico(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 19, 2017 | Costa Rica(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Martinique(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2017 | Honduras(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 6, 2017 | Mexico(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 1, 2017 | USA(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 23, 2017 | USA(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 19, 2017 | Panama(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Panama win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Costa Rica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2017 | Costa Rica 1-0 Panama | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Costa Rica 0-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Panama 1-0 Costa Rica | Copa Centroamericana |
| Sep 7, 2016 | Costa Rica 3-1 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 18, 2015 | Panama 1-2 Costa Rica | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Panama score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Costa Rica | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panama sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF (12 points from 6 matches) and Costa Rica sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy