Panathinaikos vs Iraklis 1908: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Iraklis 1908. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Iraklis 1908?
Panathinaikos starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Iraklis 1908 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-4 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis 1908 score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Iraklis 1908 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Iraklis 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Iraklis 1908?
- The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Iraklis 1908.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs Iraklis 1908 played?
- Panathinaikos vs Iraklis 1908 is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.