Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panathinaikos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (2,157 vs 1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3- 11K. Ketu
- 7J. Bartolo
- 9F. Macheda
- 10Eder González
- 28Alex Méndez
- 27G. Kotsiras
- 21D. Kourbelis
- 16F. Brorsson
- 74D. Laskaris
- 6K. Chrisopoulos
- 1N. Papadopoulos
Panathinaikos
4-4-2- 21A. Ounahi
- 7A. Tetteh
- 22E. Camara
- 10Santino Andino
- 20V. Taborda
- 42K. Kangwa
- 6S. de Vrij
- 55R. van Drongelen
- 77G. Kiriakopoulos
- 2D. Calabria
- 1Iñaki Peña
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Tripolis have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Panathinaikos have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Niki Volos(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asteras Tripolis win, 0 draws, 5 Panathinaikos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Asteras Tripolis 1-4 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Tripolis score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panathinaikos score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asteras Tripolis sit 11th in Super League 1 (5 points from 6 matches) and Panathinaikos sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos played?
- Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos is played on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.