Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If PAOK wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK?
PAOK starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (2,132 vs 1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3- 11K. Ketu
- 7J. Bartolo
- 9F. Macheda
- 10Eder González
- 28Alex Méndez
- 27G. Kotsiras
- 21D. Kourbelis
- 16F. Brorsson
- 74D. Laskaris
- 6K. Chrisopoulos
- 1N. Papadopoulos
PAOK
4-2-3-1- 27C. Ndiaye
- 10D. Pelkas
- 20C. Zafeiris
- 18K. Jakić
- 11Taison
- 52D. Chatsidis
- 3J. Kenny
- 5G. Michailidis
- 21A. Baba
- 19Diego Costa
- 99A. Tsiftsis
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Tripolis have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; PAOK have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Niki Volos(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kalamata(home) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Asteras Tripolis wins, 1 draw, 5 PAOK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | PAOK 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 3-3 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | PAOK 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 1-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Asteras Tripolis 1-4 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | PAOK 3-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Tripolis score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asteras Tripolis sit 11th in Super League 1 (5 points from 6 matches) and PAOK sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK?
- The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK played?
- Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.