Panegialios vs Lefkimmi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ethniko Stadio Aigio, Aigio
The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Lefkimmi. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panegialios vs Lefkimmi?
Panegialios starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panegialios have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Lefkimmi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pelopas Kiatou(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Miltiadis Pyrgos(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Korinthos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Panegialios score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lefkimmi score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panegialios | 1.9 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Lefkimmi | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panegialios vs Lefkimmi?
- The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Lefkimmi.
- Where and when is Panegialios vs Lefkimmi played?
- Panegialios vs Lefkimmi is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ethniko Stadio Aigio, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.