PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEK Athens FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate PAOK (2,073) and AEK Athens FC (2,122).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PAOK win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AEK Athens FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | PAOK 1-1 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | AEK Athens FC 3-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | PAOK 0-0 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 0-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | PAOK 1-0 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 2-3 PAOK | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: PAOK vs AEK Athens FC on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAOK sit 2nd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and AEK Athens FC sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEK Athens FC.
- Where and when is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC played?
- PAOK vs AEK Athens FC is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.