OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for OFI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate OFI (1,884) and Aris Thessalonikis (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Anagennisi Karditsas(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OFI win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Aris Thessalonikis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 3-1 OFI | Super League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | OFI 0-2 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-2 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | OFI 3-0 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | OFI 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis 2-0 OFI | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFI sit 4th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for OFI.
- Where and when is OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.