Paradiso vs Bavois: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Pian Scairolo, Collina d’Oro
The Footlab model makes Paradiso the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paradiso vs Bavois?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Paradiso (1,646) and Bavois (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paradiso have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cham(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paradiso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bavois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Paradiso 2-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bavois 3-2 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Bavois 1-0 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Paradiso 1-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 18, 2024 | Paradiso 2-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Bavois 1-2 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Paradiso score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradiso | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paradiso sit 11th in 1. Liga Promotion (4 points from 4 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Paradiso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paradiso vs Bavois?
- The Footlab model makes Paradiso the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Paradiso vs Bavois played?
- Paradiso vs Bavois is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Pian Scairolo, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.