Paranoá vs Samambaia: result 2-0 and analysis
Brasiliense1st Phase - 3Kick-off on January 29, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal
Full time
What was the result of Paranoá vs Samambaia?
Paranoá won 2-0 on January 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′?Paranoá
- 34′?Paranoá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paranoá have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Samambaia have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Legião(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Planaltina DF(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Real FC(home) | 2-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Gama(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Capital Brasilia(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-3 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Ceilandense(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ceilândia(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paranoá wins, 0 draws, 0 Samambaia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Samambaia 1-2 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Samambaia 2-3 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Paranoá score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Samambaia score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paranoá | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Samambaia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paranoá sit 8th in Brasiliense (6 points from 9 matches) and Samambaia sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy