Match

Parma W vs Fiorentina W: prediction and stats

Serie A WomenRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Parma WFiorentina W

The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina W the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Parma W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fiorentina W wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parma W vs Fiorentina W?

Fiorentina W starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,689).

28%27%45%
Parma W winDrawFiorentina W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Parma W vs Fiorentina W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Parma W

3-4-2-1
  1. 26E. Ekic
  1. 18Laura Domínguez
  2. 29M. Uffren
  3. 6J. Jorde
  4. 17G. Distefano
  5. 7I. Rabot
  6. 8G. Pondini
  1. 20W. Szymaszek
  2. 13B. Merlo
  3. 4Berta Bou
  1. 12C. Ceasar

Fiorentina W

3-4-3
  1. 14S. Bredgaard
  2. 51I. Omarsdottir
  3. 11I. Chacón
  1. 21E. Severini
  2. 3O. Johansen
  3. 18E. Snerle
  4. 6M. Cortez
  1. 22I. Van Der Zanden
  2. 4G. Bergsvand
  3. 19C. Correia
  1. 1C. Fiskerstrand

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma W have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Fiorentina W have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parma W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Ternana W(home)1-2Serie A Women
Sep 26, 2026Lazio W(away)0-0Serie A Women
Sep 6, 2026Napoli W(away)0-1Serie A Cup Women
Aug 30, 2026Lazio W(away)0-2Serie A Cup Women
Aug 21, 2026Inter Milano W(home)0-1Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Sassuolo W(home)2-0Serie A Women
Sep 27, 2026Inter Milano W(away)0-2Serie A Women
Sep 5, 2026Roma W(away)0-3Serie A Cup Women
Aug 30, 2026Ternana W(home)3-1Serie A Cup Women
Aug 23, 2026Sassuolo W(home)1-2Serie A Cup Women

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Parma W wins, 2 draws, 2 Fiorentina W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Fiorentina W 0-0 Parma WSerie A Women
Nov 15, 2025Parma W 1-1 Fiorentina WSerie A Women
Dec 10, 2022Parma W 0-4 Fiorentina WSerie A Women
Sep 18, 2022Fiorentina W 2-1 Parma WSerie A Women

Last archived meeting: Fiorentina W vs Parma W on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Parma W score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina W score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parma W0.71.447/155/15
Fiorentina W1.31.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parma W sit 9th in Serie A Women (1 point from 2 matches) and Fiorentina W sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Fiorentina W2101223
9Parma W2011121

A question about Parma W vs Fiorentina W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parma W vs Fiorentina W?
The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina W the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Parma W.
Where and when is Parma W vs Fiorentina W played?
Parma W vs Fiorentina W is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A Women.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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