Partick vs Stenhousemuir: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wyre Stadium at Firhill, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Stenhousemuir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Partick wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Partick (1,867) and Stenhousemuir (1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Partick vs Stenhousemuir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Partick
4-2-3-1- 9A. Samuel
- 8O. Smyth
- 7S. Drozd
- 26B. Stanway
- 10E. Henderson
- 6B. Dempsey
- 3P. Reading
- 24B. McPherson
- 22C. Loughrey
- 5L. Ashcroft
- 12L. McFarlane
Stenhousemuir
3-4-3- 11L. O'Donnell
- 20G. Stevenson
- 15D. Carrick
- 2R. Meechan
- 17M. Anderson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 8F. Robson
- 19S. Bright
- 5S. Young
- 24L. Grant
- 1D. Jamieson
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partick have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Stenhousemuir have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Partick wins, 1 draw, 1 Stenhousemuir win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 1-0 Partick | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Partick 2-2 Stenhousemuir | League Cup |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Stenhousemuir 1-2 Partick | League Cup |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Stenhousemuir 1-2 Partick | League Cup |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Stenhousemuir 1-4 Partick | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 14, 2018 | Stenhousemuir 0-2 Partick | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stenhousemuir vs Partick on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Partick score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Stenhousemuir | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partick sit 3rd in Championship (15 points from 8 matches) and Stenhousemuir sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 22 |
| 3 | Partick | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
A question about Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Stenhousemuir.
- Where and when is Partick vs Stenhousemuir played?
- Partick vs Stenhousemuir is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wyre Stadium at Firhill, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.