Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Inverness CT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Raith Rovers (1,810) and Inverness CT (1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 11J. Robertson
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 11L. Longstaff
- 4G. Shinnie
- 35A. Stewart
- 16R. Duncan
- 2C. Macleod
- 7P. Allan
- 6D. Devine
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 3Noa Boutin
- 15K. Smith
- 1R. Munro
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Inverness CT have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Raith Rovers wins, 0 draws, 1 Inverness CT win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inverness CT 0-2 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Raith Rovers 4-1 Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Raith Rovers 5-1 Inverness CT | League Cup |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Raith Rovers 1-0 Inverness CT | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Inverness CT 0-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 2nd in Championship (17 points from 9 matches) and Inverness CT sit 8th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Inverness CT.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT played?
- Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.