Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena e Demave, Tirana
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Partizani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Partizani (1,751) and Dinamo Tirana (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partizani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dinamo Tirana have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 22, 2026 | Vora(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 1-4 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vora(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Partizani win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Partizani 2-1 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 0-2 Partizani | Superliga |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Partizani 1-3 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 2-0 Partizani | Superliga |
| May 10, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-2 Partizani | Superliga |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-0 Partizani | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Partizani score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tirana score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partizani | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partizani sit 7th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Dinamo Tirana sit 9th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Partizani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Partizani.
- Where and when is Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana played?
- Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena e Demave, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.