Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Skënderbeu, Korçë
The Footlab model makes Skenderbeu Korce the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Skenderbeu Korce (1,787) and Tirana (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skenderbeu Korce have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Tirana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| May 4, 2026 | Laci(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burreli(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Skenderbeu Korce win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Tirana 2-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Skenderbeu Korce 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Tirana 1-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-0 Tirana | Superliga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tirana 2-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-0 Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skenderbeu Korce score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skenderbeu Korce | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skenderbeu Korce sit 4th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Tirana sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Skenderbeu Korce the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Tirana.
- Where and when is Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana played?
- Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Skënderbeu, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.