Paternò vs Messina: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 22Kick-off on February 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Falcone-Borsellino, Paternò
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What was the result of Paternò vs Messina?
Messina won 0-1 on February 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 83′575405Messina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paternò have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Messina have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Nissa(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Gela(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sancataldese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Milazzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Paternò win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Messina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Messina 0-0 Paternò | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Paternò score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Messina score 0.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paternò | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Messina | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paternò sit 18th in Serie D - Girone I (19 points from 34 matches) and Messina sit 16th (32 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
| 18 | Paternò | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 71 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy