Păuleşti vs Berca: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Păulești
The Footlab model makes Păuleşti the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Berca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Păuleşti vs Berca?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Păuleşti (1,343) and Berca (1,415).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Păuleşti have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Berca have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 6-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Braila(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Petrolul 52 II(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Păuleşti score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Berca score 3.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Păuleşti | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Berca | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Păuleşti vs Berca?
- The Footlab model makes Păuleşti the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Berca.
- Where and when is Păuleşti vs Berca played?
- Păuleşti vs Berca is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.