Paulton Rovers vs Cirencester Town: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 28, 2017 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Athletic Field, Paulton, Somerset
Full time
What was the result of Paulton Rovers vs Cirencester Town?
Paulton Rovers and Cirencester Town drew 2-2 on October 28, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paulton Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cirencester Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | Salisbury(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Tiverton Town(home) | 1-6 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Swindon Supermarine(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Chesham United(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Cinderford Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2017 | Evesham United(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Havant & Wville(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Truro City(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Truro City(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Gosport Borough(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Paulton Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cirencester Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulton Rovers | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Cirencester Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy