Pavonese vs Brusaporto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brusaporto wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Brusaporto?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,684) and Brusaporto (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Brusaporto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Brusaporto
Not enough data to predict the Brusaporto lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Brusaporto have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Calepina(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Brusaporto score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Brusaporto | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Brusaporto sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Brusaporto | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Brusaporto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Brusaporto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Brusaporto played?
- Pavonese vs Brusaporto is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026ChievovsPro Palazzolo
- Nov 15, 2026Virtus VeronavsFiorenzuola
- Nov 15, 2026TritiumvsReal Calepina
- Nov 15, 2026Villa VallevsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Nov 15, 2026Virtus Ciserano BergamovsScanzorosciate
- Nov 15, 2026Leon Monza e BrianzavsMilan II
- Nov 15, 2026Club MilanovsCaldiero Terme
- Nov 15, 2026Rovato VertovesevsPiacenza