Match

Pavonese vs Villa Valle: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

PavoneseVilla Valle

The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villa Valle wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pavonese vs Villa Valle?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,608) and Villa Valle (1,622).

31%28%41%
Pavonese winDrawVilla Valle win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Villa Valle

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Villa Valle

Not enough data to predict the Villa Valle lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Villa Valle have 2, 8 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Virtus Verona(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Tritium(home)3-2Serie D - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Club Milano(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Calepina(away)3-0Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Tritium(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Milan II(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Villa Valle score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pavonese0.81.512/62/6
Villa Valle1.11.3311/157/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Villa Valle sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Villa Valle72419610
15Pavonese6213597

A question about Pavonese vs Villa Valle?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Villa Valle?
The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Pavonese vs Villa Valle played?
Pavonese vs Villa Valle is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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