Match

Tritium vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

TritiumReal Calepina

The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Calepina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Real Calepina?

Real Calepina starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,541).

24%26%50%
Tritium winDrawReal Calepina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tritium vs Real Calepina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tritium

Not enough data to predict the Tritium lineup.

Real Calepina

Not enough data to predict the Real Calepina lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Real Calepina have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Virtus Verona(away)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Club Milano(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 3, 2026Chievo(away)0-5Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Club Milano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Villa Valle(home)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(home)0-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Rovato Vertovese(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Brusaporto(home)2-3Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tritium win, 1 draw, 1 Real Calepina win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2024Tritium 0-3 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Oct 28, 2023Real Calepina 1-1 TritiumSerie D - Girone B
Aug 2, 2023Tritium 9-0 Real CalepinaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Real Calepina on Mar 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tritium0.92.019/157/15
Real Calepina1.21.639/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tritium sit 18th in Serie D - Girone B (2 points from 7 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Real Calepina722311128
18Tritium70257162

A question about Tritium vs Real Calepina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Real Calepina played?
Tritium vs Real Calepina is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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