Match

Piacenza vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza

PiacenzaTritium

The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Tritium. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piacenza vs Tritium?

Piacenza is a heavy favourite: 1,856 Elo points against 1,545 — a 311-point gap.

Piacenza win65 %
Draw22 %
Tritium win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piacenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Lentigione(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 10, 2026Pistoiese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Crema(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Coriano(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Pro Sesto(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Piacenza win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tritium win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2024Tritium 3-1 PiacenzaSerie D - Girone B
Oct 4, 2023Piacenza 2-0 TritiumSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Piacenza on Jan 31, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Piacenza1.91.048/159/15
Tritium0.71.625/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Tritium?
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Tritium.
Where and when is Piacenza vs Tritium played?
Piacenza vs Tritium is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Piacenza and Tritium

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