Caldiero Terme vs Milan II: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Milan II?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Milan II (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Milan II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 10-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Caldiero Terme win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Milan II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Caldiero Terme 0-3 Milan II | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Milan II 0-2 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Milan II 0-2 Caldiero Terme | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Milan II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Milan II | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Milan II sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 37 | 56 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Milan II?
- The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Caldiero Terme.
- Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Milan II played?
- Caldiero Terme vs Milan II is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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