Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leon Monza e Brianza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,608) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Leon Monza e Brianza
Not enough data to predict the Leon Monza e Brianza lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavonese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Calepina(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pavonese wins, 0 draws, 1 Leon Monza e Brianza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza 3-0 Pavonese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 3rd (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Pavonese vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027ChievovsVirtus Verona
- Feb 14, 2027PiacenzavsFiorenzuola
- Feb 14, 2027BrusaportovsScanzorosciate
- Feb 14, 2027Villa VallevsReal Calepina
- Feb 14, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Feb 14, 2027Caldiero TermevsPro Palazzolo
- Feb 14, 2027Club MilanovsTritium
- Feb 14, 2027Rovato VertovesevsMilan II