Match

Villa Valle vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa ValleReal Calepina

The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Real Calepina?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Real Calepina (1,689).

Villa Valle win40 %
Draw27 %
Real Calepina win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Breno(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Oltrepò(home)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Milan II(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villa Valle win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Calepina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 6, 2026Villa Valle 2-2 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Sep 7, 2025Real Calepina 1-3 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B
May 4, 2025Villa Valle 3-1 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone C
Dec 22, 2024Real Calepina 1-1 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone C
Nov 6, 2024Villa Valle 1-0 Real CalepinaCoppa Italia Serie D
Jan 31, 2024Villa Valle 2-0 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Real Calepina on Jan 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Valle1.01.4310/156/15
Real Calepina1.11.258/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Villa Valle3413813434647
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Real Calepina played?
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Valle and Real Calepina

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