Villa Valle vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Real Calepina?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Real Calepina (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villa Valle win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Calepina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Villa Valle 2-2 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Real Calepina 1-3 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 4, 2025 | Villa Valle 3-1 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Real Calepina 1-1 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Villa Valle 1-0 Real Calepina | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Villa Valle 2-0 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Real Calepina on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Real Calepina?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Real Calepina played?
- Villa Valle vs Real Calepina is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027ChievovsVirtus Verona
- Feb 14, 2027PiacenzavsFiorenzuola
- Feb 14, 2027BrusaportovsScanzorosciate
- Feb 14, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Feb 14, 2027Caldiero TermevsPro Palazzolo
- Feb 14, 2027Club MilanovsTritium
- Feb 14, 2027Rovato VertovesevsMilan II
- Feb 14, 2027PavonesevsLeon Monza e Brianza