Match

Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Leon Monza e BrianzaPavonese

The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese?

Leon Monza e Brianza win42 %
Draw27 %
Pavonese win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pavonese have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese?
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese played?
Leon Monza e Brianza vs Pavonese is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leon Monza e Brianza and Pavonese

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