Paynesville vs Downtown: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Samuel Kanyon Doe Practice Pitch, Monrovia
The Footlab AI model makes Paynesville the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Downtown. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paynesville wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paynesville vs Downtown?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Paynesville (1,537) and Downtown (1,478).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paynesville vs Downtown
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paynesville
Not enough data to predict the Paynesville lineup.
Downtown
Not enough data to predict the Downtown lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paynesville have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Downtown have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Freeport(away) | 3-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 13, 2026 | LPRC Oilers(home) | 0-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Fassell(home) | 0-3 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Wologizi(home) | 4-2 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | LISCR(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Gardnersville(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
| May 14, 2026 | Borough(home) | 1-0 | LFA First Division |
| May 9, 2026 | LISCR(away) | 1-2 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Freeport(away) | 2-2 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 13, 2026 | BEA Mountain(away) | 1-4 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paynesville win, 0 draws, 1 Downtown win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Downtown 1-0 Paynesville | LFA First Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Paynesville 3-1 Downtown | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: Downtown vs Paynesville on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paynesville score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Downtown score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paynesville | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Downtown | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paynesville sit 6th in LFA First Division (42 points from 28 matches) and Downtown sit 12th (27 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paynesville | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 45 | 42 |
| 12 | Downtown | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 27 |
A question about Paynesville vs Downtown?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paynesville vs Downtown?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paynesville the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Downtown.
- Where and when is Paynesville vs Downtown played?
- Paynesville vs Downtown is played on October 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Samuel Kanyon Doe Practice Pitch, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.