Paysandu vs Castanhal: result 1-1 and analysis
ParaenseSemi-finalsKick-off on May 12, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro, Belém, Pará
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What was the result of Paysandu vs Castanhal?
Paysandu and Castanhal drew 1-1 on May 12, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 51′?Paysandu
- 61′?Castanhal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paysandu have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Castanhal have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | Castanhal(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| May 6, 2021 | Bragantino PA(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| May 2, 2021 | Bragantino PA(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 1-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Tuna Luso(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | Paysandu(home) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| May 5, 2021 | Independente PA(away) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| May 2, 2021 | Independente PA(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Carajás(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Remo(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Paysandu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Castanhal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | Castanhal 0-0 Paysandu | Paraense |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Paysandu 1-1 Castanhal | Paraense |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Paysandu 1-0 Castanhal | Paraense |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Castanhal 3-2 Paysandu | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Paysandu score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Castanhal score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Castanhal | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paysandu sit 3rd in Paraense (10 points from 6 matches) and Castanhal sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paysandu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy