PE Sant Jordi vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, Sant Josep de sa Talaia
The Footlab model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for PE Sant Jordi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PE Sant Jordi vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PE Sant Jordi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Constància(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 4, 2025 | Porreres(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Binissalem(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Portmany(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Manacor(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 PE Sant Jordi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2021 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 4-0 PE Sant Jordi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 24, 2021 | PE Sant Jordi 0-5 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs PE Sant Jordi on May 15, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
PE Sant Jordi score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE Sant Jordi | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PE Sant Jordi vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
- The Footlab model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for PE Sant Jordi.
- Where and when is PE Sant Jordi vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played?
- PE Sant Jordi vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.