PE Sant Jordi vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, Sant Josep de sa Talaia
The Footlab model makes PE Sant Jordi the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Platges Calvià. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PE Sant Jordi vs Platges Calvià?
Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PE Sant Jordi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Platges Calvià have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Constància(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 4, 2025 | Porreres(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Binissalem(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Portmany(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Manacor(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Felanitx(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 PE Sant Jordi win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Platges Calvià win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Platges Calvià 2-0 PE Sant Jordi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | PE Sant Jordi 0-2 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Platges Calvià 3-2 PE Sant Jordi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | PE Sant Jordi 0-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Platges Calvià 2-0 PE Sant Jordi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | PE Sant Jordi 0-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PE Sant Jordi score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE Sant Jordi | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Platges Calvià | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PE Sant Jordi vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab model makes PE Sant Jordi the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Platges Calvià.
- Where and when is PE Sant Jordi vs Platges Calvià played?
- PE Sant Jordi vs Platges Calvià is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.