Alcúdia vs Formentera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Formentera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Formentera starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcúdia vs Formentera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Formentera
Not enough data to predict the Formentera lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Formentera have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alcúdia wins, 0 draws, 4 Formentera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Alcúdia 1-0 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Formentera 2-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Formentera 3-1 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Alcúdia 0-2 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Alcúdia 3-0 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Formentera 6-1 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Alcúdia vs Formentera on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Formentera score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Formentera | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (9 points from 6 matches) and Formentera sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Formentera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Formentera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Formentera played?
- Alcúdia vs Formentera is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.