Santanyí vs Arenal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, Santanyí (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Arenal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santanyí wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santanyí vs Arenal?
Santanyí starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santanyí vs Arenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Arenal
4-3-3- DDavid García Movilla
- CChino
- TToni Arrom
- JJuan José
- MMarc Bonet
- JJuan Carlos Gómez Sintes
- DDavid GarcÃa
- DDani Amengual
- SSantiago Soler Quert
- JJuanca
- LLluc Ramis
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santanyí have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arenal have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Santanyí wins, 0 draws, 0 Arenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Arenal 1-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Santanyí 3-0 Arenal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arenal score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Arenal | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santanyí sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 6 matches) and Arenal sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Arenal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Santanyí vs Arenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santanyí vs Arenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Arenal.
- Where and when is Santanyí vs Arenal played?
- Santanyí vs Arenal is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.