PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark Be Quick '28 Veld 5, Zwolle
The Footlab model makes Willem II U21 the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for PEC Zwolle U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle U21 (1,647) and Willem II U21 (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle U21 have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Willem II U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | De Graafschap U21(away) | 0-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Willem II U21(away) | 0-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 3-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(away) | 2-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 2-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(away) | 1-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sittard U21(away) | 4-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 PEC Zwolle U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Willem II U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Willem II U21 3-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | PEC Zwolle U21 0-4 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Willem II U21 1-1 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | PEC Zwolle U21 2-1 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Willem II U21 0-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Willem II U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II U21 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle U21 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Willem II U21 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle U21 sit 7th in U21 Divisie 1 (15 points from 14 matches) and Willem II U21 sit 2nd (26 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Willem II U21 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 26 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle U21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21?
- The Footlab model makes Willem II U21 the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for PEC Zwolle U21.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21 played?
- PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21 is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Be Quick '28 Veld 5, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.