De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, Doetinchem
The Footlab model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for PEC Zwolle U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21?
De Graafschap U21 starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap U21 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; PEC Zwolle U21 have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | Groningen U21(away) | 1-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 3-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(home) | 2-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Cambuur U21(away) | 3-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 1-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | De Graafschap U21(away) | 0-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Willem II U21(away) | 0-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 De Graafschap U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 PEC Zwolle U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | De Graafschap U21 1-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | PEC Zwolle U21 0-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | PEC Zwolle U21 2-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | De Graafschap U21 2-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 13, 2023 | PEC Zwolle U21 2-2 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | De Graafschap U21 2-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap U21 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap U21 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| PEC Zwolle U21 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap U21 sit 1st in U21 Divisie 1 (29 points from 15 matches) and PEC Zwolle U21 sit 7th (15 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap U21 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 29 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle U21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21?
- The Footlab model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for PEC Zwolle U21.
- Where and when is De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 played?
- De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.