Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, Ibiza
The Footlab AI model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Peña Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,140 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Peña Deportiva (1,833) and Castellonense (1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peña Deportiva
Not enough data to predict the Peña Deportiva lineup.
Castellonense
4-3-3- 9I. Garijo
- 15Didac Castellá
- 16J. Rodriguez
- 18Diego de Pedro
- 19J. Winstanley
- 10A. Murillo
- 3Primi Férriz
- 5S. Candel
- 22C. Badal Andani
- 7J. Pulpon
- 1J. Company
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Deportiva have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Castellonense have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Deportiva score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peña Deportiva sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 10 matches) and Castellonense sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellonense | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 17 | Peña Deportiva | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense played?
- Peña Deportiva vs Castellonense is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.