Yeclano vs Real Murcia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Constitución, Yecla
The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Murcia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeclano vs Real Murcia II?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Yeclano (1,865) and Real Murcia II (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeclano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Real Murcia II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Yeclano win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Murcia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2022 | Real Murcia II 0-1 Yeclano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Yeclano 4-2 Real Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Real Murcia II vs Yeclano on Jan 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Yeclano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeclano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Murcia II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeclano vs Real Murcia II?
- The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Murcia II.
- Where and when is Yeclano vs Real Murcia II played?
- Yeclano vs Real Murcia II is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Constitución, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.