Mallorca II vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Son Bibiloni (Antonio Asensio), Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca II vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Mallorca II (1,973) and La Nucía (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca II have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; La Nucía have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 7-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 31, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca II score 3.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca II | 3.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mallorca II | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 61 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca II vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca II the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Mallorca II vs La Nucía played?
- Mallorca II vs La Nucía is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Son Bibiloni (Antonio Asensio), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.