Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, Ibiza
The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mallorca II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Peña Deportiva (1,928) and Mallorca II (1,973).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Deportiva have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mallorca II have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 7-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peña Deportiva win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mallorca II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Peña Deportiva 2-2 Mallorca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Mallorca II 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Mallorca II 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Peña Deportiva 2-1 Mallorca II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Peña Deportiva 2-0 Mallorca II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Mallorca II 1-1 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca II score 3.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mallorca II | 3.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peña Deportiva sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (35 points from 34 matches) and Mallorca II sit 17th (18 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
| 17 | Mallorca II | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 61 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mallorca II.
- Where and when is Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II played?
- Peña Deportiva vs Mallorca II is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.