Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Alcoyano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorca Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,891) and Alcoyano (1,956).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Alcoyano have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 7 matches) and Alcoyano sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Alcoyano.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Alcoyano is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.