Ucam Murcia vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Elche II?
Ucam Murcia starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ucam Murcia vs Elche II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Elche II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ucam Murcia wins, 0 draws, 0 Elche II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II 1-5 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Ucam Murcia 1-0 Elche II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Elche II vs Ucam Murcia on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Elche II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ucam Murcia sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (18 points from 9 matches) and Elche II sit 16th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 18 |
| 16 | Elche II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Ucam Murcia vs Elche II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs Elche II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs Elche II played?
- Ucam Murcia vs Elche II is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.