Penafiel vs Estrela: result 2-4 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 27, 2023 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Estrela?
Estrela won 2-4 on May 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′RobertoPenafiel
- 28′Adílio SantosPenafiel
- 49′Jean FelipeEstrela
- 50′João ReisEstrela
- 55′João SilvaEstrela
- 87′CapitaEstrela
Official lineup for Penafiel vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penafiel
3-5-2- 17Roberto
- 88Adílio Santos
- 15Simãozinho
- 21Diogo Batista
- 8Reko
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 5Bruno Pereira
- 35Filipe Cardoso
- 14João Miguel
- 4Silvério
- 73Filipe Ferreira
Estrela
3-4-3- 11Diogo Salomão
- 9João Silva
- 55Luan
- 50Michel Camargos
- 32S. Guzmán
- 24L. Fall
- 12Jean Felipe
- 80Erivaldo Almeida
- 2J. Omurwa
- 33Rui Correia
- 1António Filipe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | Torreense(away) | 1-5 | Segunda Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Tondela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| May 7, 2023 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Trofense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Moreirense(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Belenenses(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Penafiel wins, 1 draw, 2 Estrela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | Estrela 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Estrela 1-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Estrela 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Penafiel 0-2 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Estrela 0-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Penafiel vs Estrela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy