Penafiel vs Guimaraes B: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 28, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Guimaraes B?
Penafiel won 1-0 on September 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 64′Fábio FortesPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Guimaraes B have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Oliveirense(away) | 5-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Fafe(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2016 | U. Madeira(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Olhanense(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Portimonense(home) | 1-5 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Leixoes(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes B score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Guimaraes B | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy