Leça vs Guimaraes B: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube, Leça da Palmeira
The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leça vs Guimaraes B?
On Elo ratings, Leça has 2,070 points and Guimaraes B 2,002.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leça vs Guimaraes B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leça
4-3-3- 10Nicolas
- 11B. Mesquita
- 9M. Fortes
- 20Rodrigo Ferreira
- 33Diogo Pereira
- 21Carlos Avelino
- 23D. Ribeiro
- 41Cássio Scheid
- 22A. Coutinho
- 4Fábio Baldé
- 1M. Paiva
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 87G. Paula
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 67Rodrigo Neto
- 80R. Rocha
- 50Zeega
- 36A. Meireles
- 93Rika
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leça have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guimaraes B have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Leça win, 0 draws, 2 Guimaraes B wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guimaraes B 2-0 Leça | Liga 3 |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Guimaraes B 3-4 Leça | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 11, 2025 | Leça 1-2 Guimaraes B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Leça score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes B score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leça | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guimaraes B | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leça sit 2nd in Liga 3 (10 points from 6 matches) and Guimaraes B sit 10th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Leça vs Guimaraes B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leça vs Guimaraes B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Leça vs Guimaraes B played?
- Leça vs Guimaraes B is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.