Penafiel vs Mafra: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 5, 2023 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Mafra?
Penafiel won 1-0 on February 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 71′Fábio FortesPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Mafra have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Leixoes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Estrela(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Tondela(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Oliveirense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Trofense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Moreirense(away) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Belenenses(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Vilafranquense(away) | 3-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mafra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2022 | Mafra 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Mafra 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Penafiel 2-1 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Mafra 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Penafiel 3-1 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Mafra 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mafra score 1.7 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mafra | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy