Penafiel vs Nacional: result 1-4 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Nacional?
Nacional won 1-4 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′André SilvaPenafiel
- 16′Carlos DanielNacional
- 18′WitiNacional
- 20′C. RamírezNacional
- 61′V. DanilovićNacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Valadares Gaia(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Feirense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2023 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Portosantense(away) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Vilaverdense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leixoes(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penafiel win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Nacional 0-0 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Penafiel 3-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Nacional 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Penafiel 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Penafiel 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy