Penafiel vs Nacional: result 1-4 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Nacional?
Nacional won 1-4 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′André SilvaPenafiel
- 16′Carlos DanielNacional
- 18′WitiNacional
- 20′C. RamírezNacional
- 61′V. DanilovićNacional (pen.)
Official lineup for Penafiel vs Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Penafiel
4-2-3-1- 17Gabriel Barbosa
- 7Hugo Firmino
- 30André Silva
- 75Robinho
- 21Diogo Batista
- 8Reko
- 15João Silva
- 4João Miguel
- 44Rúben Pereira
- 68Maga
- 1Pedro Silva
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 9C. Ramírez
- 11Witi
- 10Luís Esteves
- 7Rúben Macedo
- 8V. Danilović
- 28Carlos Daniel
- 55André Sousa
- 40Ulisses
- 4Paulo Vitor
- 2João Aurélio
- 37Lucas França
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Valadares Gaia(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Feirense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2023 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Portosantense(away) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Vilaverdense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leixoes(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penafiel wins, 3 draws, 1 Nacional win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Nacional 0-0 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Penafiel 3-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Nacional 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Penafiel 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Penafiel 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Penafiel vs Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy