Penafiel vs União de Leiria: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 16, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs União de Leiria?
Penafiel won 1-0 on December 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 59′André SilvaPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; União de Leiria have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 19, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2023 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Vilaverdense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; União de Leiria score 2.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| União de Leiria | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 7th in Segunda Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and União de Leiria sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy