Match

União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria

União de LeiriaSporting CP B

The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1. If União de Leiria wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,336 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B?

On Elo ratings, União de Leiria has 2,024 points and Sporting CP B 1,990.

59%23%18%
União de Leiria winDrawSporting CP B win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

União de Leiria

4-4-2
  1. 21Jaime
  2. 9Juan Muñoz
  1. 98Ibrahima
  2. 17Pablo Fernández
  3. 6E. Kouassi
  4. 88Diogo Martins
  1. 68Maga
  2. 44Marcelo
  3. 16Zé Pedro
  4. 3Marc Baró
  1. 99J. Odehnal

Sporting CP B

4-2-3-1
  1. 78Mauro Couto
  1. 96Samuel Justo
  2. 40M. Tanlongo
  3. 76Rodrigo Rodrigues
  4. 87Paulo Cardoso
  5. 73Eduardo Felicíssimo
  1. 95Lucas Taibo
  2. 50Rodrigo Dias
  3. 70Salvador Blopa
  4. 84Atanasio
  1. 99Francisco Silva

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 06:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting CP B have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

União de Leiria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Torreense(away)3-2Segunda Liga
Oct 31, 2026AVS(home)2-1Segunda Liga
Oct 25, 2026FC Porto B(away)1-1Segunda Liga
Oct 17, 2026Bragança(home)2-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026Academica(home)0-2Segunda Liga
Sporting CP B
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Tondela(home)1-1Segunda Liga
Oct 31, 2026Leixoes(away)2-1Segunda Liga
Oct 30, 2026Leicester City U21(away)2-1Premier League International Cup
Oct 24, 2026Portimonense(home)3-0Segunda Liga
Oct 10, 2026Vizela(away)2-0Segunda Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 União de Leiria wins, 0 draws, 1 Sporting CP B win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2026União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
Aug 17, 2025Sporting CP B 1-0 União de LeiriaSegunda Liga
Feb 18, 2023Sporting CP B 0-1 União de LeiriaLiga 3
Nov 6, 2022União de Leiria 1-0 Sporting CP BLiga 3
Feb 11, 2022União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP BLiga 3
Nov 7, 2021Sporting CP B 0-2 União de LeiriaLiga 3

Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B on Jan 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

União de Leiria score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
União de Leiria1.71.349/158/15
Sporting CP B1.50.957/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

União de Leiria sit 5th in Segunda Liga (17 points from 10 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Sporting CP B1071216822
5União de Leiria10523161317

A question about União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B?
The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sporting CP B.
Where and when is União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B played?
União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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