União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate União de Leiria (1,944) and Sporting CP B (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 União de Leiria win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sporting CP B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sporting CP B 1-0 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sporting CP B 0-1 União de Leiria | Liga 3 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | União de Leiria 1-0 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 11, 2022 | União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Sporting CP B 0-2 União de Leiria | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
União de Leiria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União de Leiria sit 9th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B played?
- União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.