Penafiel vs União de Leiria: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs União de Leiria?
Penafiel won 1-0 on December 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. SéryPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; União de Leiria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Maritimo(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Vizela(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Farense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Benfica B(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Maritimo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Penafiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 União de Leiria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | União de Leiria 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Penafiel 1-0 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 25, 2024 | União de Leiria 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Penafiel 1-0 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs Penafiel on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; União de Leiria score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| União de Leiria | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 7th in Segunda Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and União de Leiria sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy