Penafiel vs Varzim: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 30, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Varzim?
Penafiel won 2-1 on October 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 32′Éder DíezVarzim
- 70′Fernando AndradePenafiel (pen.)
- 80′Fernando AndradePenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Varzim have 5, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Benfica B(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 19, 2016 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Amarante(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Portimonense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Águeda(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2016 | Academica(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Freamunde(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Varzim | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy