Penafiel vs Varzim: result 2-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 14, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Varzim?
Penafiel won 2-0 on April 14, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 19′Luís PedroPenafiel
- 37′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Varzim have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2019 | Guimaraes B(away) | 5-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Benfica B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Mafra(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Academica(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Farense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Estoril(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | Varzim 3-4 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Penafiel 2-3 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Varzim 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Varzim 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Penafiel 2-1 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Varzim | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy